Expanding the Coverage of the National Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme
Chinese
APR 2022
Report
Green Economics Industry
Summary:
This report examines the challenges and policy options for expanding China's national carbon emissions trading scheme beyond the power sector to include additional industries such as cement, aluminum, steel, chemicals, and others. It identifies information gaps—particularly the lack of detailed data on diverse industrial processes and trade exposure—and concerns about international competitiveness as key obstacles to expansion. To overcome these barriers, the report recommends a three step approach: first, introducing a price collar (price floor and ceiling) to manage economic risks and address competitiveness concerns; second, simplifying allocation benchmarks by reducing the number of technology specific benchmarks to the minimum feasible per product category; and third, highlighting the alignment between ETS expansion and China's broader economic strategy of fostering domestic innovation and competitiveness in growing global clean technology markets. The report also includes a case study on green hydrogen to illustrate the innovation and market opportunities that ETS expansion can catalyze, arguing that the economic benefits—though often overlooked—warrant greater attention from policymakers and industry stakeholders.
Suggested citation:
Busch Chris, Hu Min, Chen Meian. (2022). Expanding the Coverage of the National Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme: Challenges and Countermeasures. Energy Innovation, Institute of Finance and Sustainability, and Institute for Global Decarbonization Progress (iGDP).
Related
-
Decarbonizing Steel Industry Thermal SystemsThis report examines the low-carbon transition pathways for thermal/heating systems in China's steel industry, reviewing the policy drivers behind decarbonization and analyzing the technological trajectory across near-, medium-, and long-term horizons (2025–2060). It surveys and compares the applicability, economics, and emissions-reduction potential of key technologies—including waste heat recovery, system efficiency improvements, and hydrogen-based metallurgy—through in-depth case studies (HBIS Group's hydrogen metallurgy, Shougang Jingtang's process interface optimization, and Sinosteel/CISP's hydrogen-based smelting reduction, among others). It further identifies the practical barriers to scaling these technologies (high green hydrogen costs, renewable energy intermittency, stranded-asset risk, and weak cross-sector coordination mechanisms), and proposes policy recommendations to accelerate the sector's shift toward integration with renewable energy systems.Report AUG 2026

-
Can China’s zero-carbon industrial parks go global?In March 2026, China’s 15th Five Year Plan set a target to build “around 100 national level zero-carbon industrial parks” – zones for industrial production with net-zero or close to zero carbon emissions. It marked an upgrade to what had previously been a series of pilot projects around the country and catapulted such zones to a national priority.Interview JUL 2026

-
Consumption Constraints in Green Hydrogen Amino Acid IndustryExamines the green hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol industry in China, contends that the sector is shifting from a supply-side capacity-expansion phase to a "demand-constrained" phase where commercial viability depends on forming a closed-loop offtake and consumption system, identifies critical bottlenecks—including high production costs (2–3 times higher than conventional routes), insufficient port refueling infrastructure, heavy reliance on volatile international certification (e.g., ISCC) and external demand, and the failure of green premiums to translate into stable domestic willingness-to-pay—and proposes a strategic policy reorientation from merely "building production capacity" to actively "creating demand" through enforceable domestic demand-side mechanisms (e.g., non-electric consumption targets, green procurement, and carbon market integration), enhanced domestic green certification and pricing capabilities, consumption-side incentives, and stricter project screening focused on commercial closure, in order to unlock the industry's low-carbon value, reduce dependence on external rules, and support its sustainable commercial scaling and contribution to China's energy transition.Commentary JUN 2026

-
The EU Pushes for Domestic Manufacturing: Where Will China’s Clean Technology Products Go?In its document, the European Commission explicitly stated that China accounts for more than 80 percent of global production capacity in the battery manufacturing and solar photovoltaic sectors; at the same time, the European wind power industry is facing cost pressures from low-priced imports from China. On April 27, China’s Ministry of Commerce responded by stating that the bill constitutes “serious institutional discrimination” and will undermine fair competition.Interview JUN 2026

-
Behind China’s Boom in ‘Zero-Carbon Industrial Parks’As the parks multiply, unified standards and better carbon accounting are needed to maximize their potential.Op-ed APR 2026

-
From Fuel to FeedstockThis policy brief analyzes the structural shift in China's fossil energy consumption from fuel to feedstock, identifying provinces with high feedstock dependence and assessing the implications for subnational decarbonization under the "dual control" framework for carbon emissions. It combines quantitative analysis of national and provincial energy statistics from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook (2019–2023) with a classification framework that ranks provinces based on the share of coal, oil, and natural gas used as feedstock relative to their total final consumption of each fuel. Policy recommendations are centered on accelerating the deployment of green hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol as substitutes for fossil feedstocks in carbon-intensive industries, supported by a case study of Inner Mongolia's green hydrogen industry plan.Policy Brief APR 2026
