Current Opinion

Carefully selected insights and analysis from China’s thought leaders on climate change and the low-carbon transition

The expansion of For developing countries, adapting to climate change becomes more urgent

Xie Zhenhua, Former Special Envoy for Climate Change Affairs of China

The global average near-surface temperature in 2023 was 1.45°C above the pre-industrial baseline, making it unlikely to limit warming to within 1.5°C by 2030. As the challenge to achieve the 1.5°C goal in time grows more complex, the issue of adaptation has become crucial, as it directly impacts lives. 

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China is willing to share its technologies and practices in industrial decarbonization, electrification, smart technologies, and low-carbon smart city demonstration projects with other nations, working together toward a greener future. 

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To embrace carbon-neutral economy, China’s new energy companies need to strategically approach their internationalization through the lens of the global industrial landscape. 

Wang Shi, Chairman of Vanke Foundation 

China has made significant progress in photovoltaics, wind power, and new energy vehicles. While some critics may attribute these achievements solely to “government subsidies”, the reality is that technological innovation and widespread adoption and use of clean products, in addition to supportive policies, are critical to the industry’s success.  

As companies seek to internationalize, it is necessary to have a full understanding of the global industrial landscape. For example, cooperation between companies from China, the United States and Japan has great potential to promote carbon neutrality. Each country has different strengths in the global green transition, and cooperation between companies can promote mutual benefits in technology, markets, and policies. As a highly industrialized nation, Japan has made significant progress in innovation and implementation of carbon trading. The United States has the largest global market, abundant financial resources, and strong capabilities in technological innovation. China excels in the application and promotion of new energy technologies, especially in large-scale deployment. By joining forces, companies from these three countries can not only drive the green transition in their domestic markets, but also jointly tap global markets. Rather than looking at a country’s market in isolation, it is necessary to work together to promote a carbon-neutral economy. 

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The expansion of Chinas national carbon market will increase market activity and promote industry transition

Shi Yichen, Assistant Dean of International Institute of Green Finance, Central University of Finance and Economics 

Compared to other high-emission sectors, the cement, steel, and aluminum electrolysis industries are particularly well-positioned to participate in the national carbon market. They have demonstrated a sense of urgency in cutting emissions, the potential to coordinate pollution control and carbon reduction, robustness in data quality, and cost-effectiveness in marginal emission reductions. 

The first round of expansion will bring in approximately 1,500 new key emitters, which is expected to result in an increase in carbon prices and the vitality of the carbon market. The growing heterogeneity within the industry will also help to diversify the market’s risk appetite, leading to a more rational carbon pricing structure. This will enhance the market’s ability for carbon price discovery and better reflect the varying costs of emission reductions across different entities. Moreover, the expansion will reduce the export burden posed by carbon tariffs in the industry. 

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New energy storage faces cost, technology, marketization, and coordination challenges

Wu Yin, Former Deputy Director of the National Energy Administration 

Currently, China’s new energy storage sector faces several challenges. The first is high cost, with many companies struggling to break even. The second is technological; the safety and reliability of energy storage systems need to be improved. The third is the underdeveloped market mechanisms, which do not fully capture the potential value of energy storage. Finally, there’s a coordination problem, particularly in integrating energy storage with new energy sources such as photovoltaics. 

In response, there are several recommendations. First, take a holistic approach to planning. Second, increase investment in research and application of new technologies. Third, improve the reliability of equipment and the stability of energy storage systems. Finally, give full play to the decisive role of the market in establishing a clear value for energy storage in new energy development. 

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Newsletter

TTP newsletters track and unpack the latest discussions on climate change in China, helping to identify new trends, gaps, and opportunities in climate communication

August 2024

After Ten Years of Achievement, What’s Next for China’s Energy Transition?

On August 29th, China’s State Council Information Office released a white paper titled “China’s Energy Transition,” which spotlights the transition and evolution in China’s energy consumption, supply, technological systems, and international collaborations over the past ten years. In this month’s edition, we delve into the white paper to explore the most recent developments and trends in China’s energy transition, focusing on energy consumption, energy supply, and the dual carbon goals.

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